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Alaska wildfire risk

Alaska sits in the lower half of US states for wildfire hazard, but lower does not mean none — hazard concentrates locally regardless of the statewide picture. This page covers current activity and how to check your own address.

active incidents in AK
acres currently involved
average containment
40.5average county hazard score
$47.5Bbuilding value exposed
30counties assessed

Active fires in Alaska

Alaska's recorded fire history

Federal perimeter records list 2,476 mapped wildfires in Alaska since 2000. The largest on that record is the Boundary Fire of 2004, which burned 538,652 acres.

FireYearArea burned
Boundary Fire2004538,652 acres
Minto Flats South Fire2009534,912 acres
Dall City Fire2004500,352 acres
Billy Creek Fire2004462,173 acres

Recorded history feeds directly into your address score: our model counts mapped burns within 25 miles of a parcel, weighted toward large ones. It is worth knowing the limitation, though — a long record of successful suppression can leave an area reading quiet while fuel accumulates, which is precisely the condition that produces the next large fire.

Where hazard concentrates in Alaska

Wildfire hazard is not spread evenly across a state. These are the 5 counties in Alaska with the highest wildfire risk scores in FEMA's National Risk Index, with the building value each has sitting in exposed areas.

CountyHazard scoreBuilding exposure
Fairbanks North Star County97.6$4.9B
Southeast Fairbanks County97.1$1.3B
Kenai Peninsula County97.1$8.7B
Matanuska-Susitna County94.7$12.9B
Yukon-Koyukuk County93.0$522M

Fairbanks North Star County carries the highest score in the state at 97.6. If your address is there, or in any of the counties above, the statewide average understates your situation considerably — which is the reason to check the parcel rather than the state.

How Alaska ranks nationally

FEMA's National Risk Index scores every US county for expected annual wildfire loss. Across Alaska's 30 assessed counties the average wildfire hazard score is 40.5, which places the state 32nd of the 50 states. The most exposed county in Alaska scores 97.6.

Against a 50-state average of 52.7, Alaska sits 12.2 points below it. Rank 32 of 50. The National Risk Index blends how often wildfire is expected with how much is standing in the way, so a state can post a moderate score with severe local hazard wherever development has pushed into the wildland-urban interface.

Roughly $47.5B of building value sits inside Alaska's wildfire-exposed areas. That figure is what drives carrier behaviour: insurers manage concentration of exposure, so a state can have modest average hazard and still see availability problems wherever that value clusters in the wildland-urban interface.

State averages hide almost everything Hazard varies enormously within a single county. Slope, aspect, surrounding fuel and road access can change the picture over a few hundred feet, which is why a state-level number is never the answer for your house. Score your actual address.

Alaska wildfire season

Alaska sees most wildfire activity during dry spells in spring and autumn, when cured vegetation and low humidity coincide. Activity is generally episodic rather than a sustained multi-month season.

Insurance in Alaska

Alaska does not operate a FAIR Plan in the way the western fire states do, which in practice means the surplus lines market is the fallback for a parcel the admitted market declines. An independent broker is more useful here than a captive agent, because only they can access those carriers.

Residual-market availability and the rules governing it change. Confirm the current position with the Alaska Department of Insurance before you rely on it.

Whatever the market looks like in your area, the sequence is the same: document mitigation before your renewal date, work with an independent broker who can access surplus lines, and ask directly whether the carrier credits wildfire mitigation. The full fire insurance guide covers non-renewal, FAIR Plans and difference-in-conditions wraps in detail.

Lowering your risk in Alaska

The two changes with the best return anywhere in the country are clearing the first five feet around the structure to non-combustible material, and screening vents against ember entry. Both are cheap, both address the mechanism that destroys most homes, and both are visible to an underwriter if you photograph and invoice them. What qualifies and how to document it.

Data sources